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Cover Story: January 2000
Thinking about the Future: Part Two: Leaders in the field of education technology tell us what they see ahead

See also: Part One of this article
Rockart illustration by Michael Gibbs

Ted Nellen

Education -- which already begins with an e -- will profit by the boom in e-commerce and digitized government. The first part is to make the students' work public by publishing it on the Internet. By making it public, it is now available for public scrutiny by peer reviewers, telementors, employers, college admissions officers, teachers, and interaction with parents and guardians. Instead of one teacher working with as many as 40 students in one class and some teachers having five classes, I see the digital technology reversing those numbers so we have as many as 10 telementors of all shapes and sizes working with one student. Digital technology lets us realize the idea that it takes a village to educate the child. In this case, it's a global village, taking advantage of the Age of Interactivity.

This is not as difficult as one might imagine. Computers are already in place in front of millions of college-educated people and being placed in schools across the country. Workers in government and business can serve as telementors without leaving their office and taking valuable time from their own work. Remember it is business and government that have been making the most noise about education; I see telementoring as a way for them to contribute, besides merely talking about the problem of education in this country.

Imagine business CEOs taking those 15 minutes between meetings to log on and critique a student's paper. A late appointment can provide time for an executive to share an anecdote about a favorite novel, or for a government official to check in with a student via e-mail. An isolated soldier can telementor kids, alumni can provide sage advice, and the genius and talents of our growing retirement villages can be tapped. Communities around the country have already wired their entire towns and have provided better government, services, business, and education because they have actively engaged and harnessed this power. The possibilities are infinite.

Ted Nellen, Cybrarian, has been teaching high school English since 1974. He began using computers in his New York City public high school Cyber English class in 1983, has been using the Internet since 1985, and has been on the web since 1993.

Frank B. Withrow

The printing press made a quantum change in the way youth are prepared for adult life. The digital world will make a comparable change in modern schools. Our very concepts of what and how we learn and teach will be forever different.

The printing press, books, and traditional libraries have served us well for more than three centuries. However, digital information brings a new dynamic to the world of stored and retrievable information. We do not yet fully understand the importance of these changes. We are still trying to adapt the new technologies to the old standards of education. We are putting new wine in old wineskins. We must avoid creating egg-carton digital classrooms to do the same thing we have always done.

Part of our challenge as teachers and learners is how to organize the vast amount of data that streams into all our lives and change it into usable information. Once organized into information, it may become meaningful knowledge. Once that knowledge has been tested by time, it may become wisdom, and once the wisdom is confirmed, it may be thought of as foresight.

Learning in traditional schools has been effective for the top 15 percent of students, but far too many schools have wasted the potential of many learners. Joseph Wepman was one of the first to classify learner styles as being primarily visual, auditory, tactile, and kinesthetic. Howard Gardner has demonstrated that there are many different types of intelligence.

With technology we can provide individual learning plans and programs for every student. We can collect warehouses of data on the learning styles, habits, content, and achievements of all students. Through data mining we can enable the learner and the teacher to chart efficient and effective learning programs. In the early days of computer assisted learning, Don Bitzer, Patrick Suppes, and other pioneers dreamed of collecting information about each learner's skills and knowledge and relating that information to learning resources. We now have the power, knowledge, and resources that allow us to create that kind of educational structure.

The question is whether we have the political and cognitive will to create such improved learning environments. The challenge is up to you who work in the field of education. Each of you will make a difference in the new age of education. Each of you will in part determine the future of technology and learning.

Frank B. Withrow has 50 years in education, including senior learning technologist at the U.S. Department of Education, technology policy specialist for the Council of Chief State School Officers, and director of education programs for the NASA Classroom of the Future. His most recent book is Preparing Schools and School Systems for the 21st Century. He is currently the director of development for Able Company, a firm devoted to early childhood education.

Sue Collins

Ten years ago, I worked on a multimedia planning tool for educators, and these lines we wrote have stayed with me: "You can usually look at a group of students and their teacher and tell when the educational process is working. The atmosphere is just right -- and you know it."

Technology has changed a lot since then, and has enabled us to move away from the narrow notion of a teacher in front of a class of students to the broader notion of learning at any time and place. But the goal of a "just right" education is still the same. And the best teacher is still the one who looks at the whole person and brings judgment to the learning process.

The following technologies excite me because they have the potential for making learning (and teaching) even more effective in the coming years:

* Wireless technologies will enable learners to access their own tools and information whether they're in the library, at the pond, or in an art gallery, and will allow teachers to consider the whole world as a single, connected learning environment.

* E-books will be constantly updated and customized and, when combined with intelligent agents, will give learners interactive content designed with them in mind -- tuned to their personal learning styles as well as their current level of knowledge.

* Collaborative tools will capture the advantages of the social aspects of learning in groups, allowing teachers and students to coach, mentor, and work together when they're not in the same place.

I can't predict the path of technology or the speed at which it will change. But I hope we will keep in mind that "just right" learning atmosphere as we integrate tomorrow's technologies into education.

Sue Collins, an Internet education consultant, has held senior positions at Jostens Learning, Compaq, and Apple. She is a former teacher and administrator at the district and state level.

Ken Komoski

In his prescient 1938 novel World Brain, H.G. Wells wrote of a predigital database that would democratize worldwide access to information, knowledge, and learning for all humankind.

Today, as the Internet fosters a remarkably democratic World Wide Web, I find myself asking two questions: What is this "world brain" thinking about? And how can we help fulfill its potential as a means of democratizing and increasing learning, knowledge, understanding, tolerance, creativity, equity, productivity, and wisdom for all?

The answer to the first question is clear. Our emergent "world brain" is thinking about commerce, music, communication, sports, spirituality, dating, nature, stocks, pornography, poetry, building bombs, making peace, real estate, books, games, the environment; anything its users are thinking about -- even learning and education. To re-phrase Pogo, "We have met the world brain and it is us!"

The answer to the second question is much more a work in progress, and it is being pursued by those who care about democratizing access to digitized learning in schools and homes -- particularly in homes where lack of technology and skills keeps parents and children on the far side of the digital divide.

Computers that can help these families cross this unnecessary divide are in ample supply. They can be found among the 20 million computers being discarded each year by business and home users. Each represents a potential tax-deductible donation, as well as a family-empowering tool for accessing the world brain and global economy. Those looking for a strategy to help digitally disenfranchised families can begin by tapping into our nation=s endless supply of discarded but still-useful, web-capable computers. Families that lack computers should have an opportunity to earn them by learning how to use them in training spaces provided by schools, libraries, faith groups, and community organizations. Such democratized access to collaborative, user-generated information could make a significant contribution to improving the quality of the learning sector of our emergent world brain.

Ken Komoski is executive director of EPIE Institute and founder of LINCT Coalition, organizations working to provide educational consumers with information about the quality of learning resources and to help bridge the digital divide. He is currently directing a web-based project to provide homes and schools with access to learning resources and on-line mentoring.

James Tenbusch

The literature on using technology in schools will lead one to the conclusion that teachers have to change the way they currently teach in order to be effective. For some reason constructivism has been coupled with technology as "the right way to teach." The problem that I have with this philosophy and the literature on constructivism is that it is short on applied methodology a teacher can use. Constructivism, in this context, implies that using technology requires the development of a whole new curriculum.

I thought that technology was a tool, and only a tool -- not a whole new curriculum. Why are we expecting teachers to change the whole way they do things just so they can bring computers into the instructional mix of their classrooms? How are first- and second-graders supposed to collaborate meaningfully on the setting of instructional standards? They don't have the cognitive skills necessary to be self-determined learners. Besides, what teacher has the time to engage in such an elaborate group-determined educational process that does not focus on any discrete skill-level development when they have to worry about state performance goals and standards that do focus on discrete skill-level sets? It's hard enough getting teachers to use the computers they have in a meaningful way without forcing them to change they way they currently teach.

Instead, I have focused on developing a much more practicable model for technology integration -- I call it the Technology Augmented Lesson -- that does not require a teacher to change a thing. You've got to give teachers something they can use directly, that won't interfere with their individual teaching styles, and that won't take a lot of time to plan for and implement, or they simply won't use it.

James Tenbusch is superintendent and technology coordinator of the Allen Township Community Consolidated School District No. 65 and the Otter Creek-Hyatt School District No. 56 in Illinois.

Steve Cisler

Changes in information and communications technology will enable the development of devices that learn about the natural world, talk to each other via wireless data exchange, and learn about us as we use them.

Our kids will relate to these changes with less suspicion than we will. As the devices -- toys to start with -- become "smarter" and learn more about the child, new relationships will emerge that may be as intense as the one you had with your old teddy bear, but more complex. This will change the way children relate to each other, to their families, and to their human teachers. We will spend a lot of time trying to understand these changes.

Some have worried that, in the age of cheap machines and expensive labor, only the wealthy will have real teachers in the future. They worry that learning and teaching devices will be used to fill the gaps in our school labor force when a large number of our teachers retire early in the 21st century. This could be, but I also believe that there will still be many areas of the world where learning will happen with a teacher sitting in a classroom or under a tree, and a circle of students listening.

In the same way that traditional, unmediated storytelling has had a resurgence of interest around the United States, I think that people learning from other people will be valued even more than at present, and that will be both traditional and refreshing, if costly. It will be embraced for the same reasons as it is today, but it will also be in reaction to Furby, Aibo, virtual-reality caves, distance learning, and virtual universities. I believe that the citizens who flourish in the future will be those who can afford to mix different types of learning -- and who will be wary of their technological servants whispering behinds their backs.

Steve Cisler is a consultant whose background is in public and special libraries. He has been a teacher in the Peace Corps, a wine maker, a researcher at Apple Computer Inc., and a search-and-rescue coordinator in the Coast Guard. Now he focuses on public access projects and community computing projects in the United States and developing countries.

Veronica S. Pantelidis

Colonies on space stations, the moon, Mars, and beyond will need every type of education on every subject that we now have on Earth. Virtual reality will provide a three-dimensional stage and environment that can be used to simulate any classroom in any nation on Earth. It will be used to give students a feeling of being on Earth. They will be able to visit -- virtually -- any location on Earth and any historical time period. Virtual reality will be the interface between Earth and the colonies. Students and educators at many locations in outer space and on Earth will meet in virtual classrooms which could originate at any location in the solar system. They will collaborate together and learn together. They will produce new knowledge together.

The future of education is more fantastic than we can even imagine. Today's children may well live into the 22nd Century. Their world will be as different from today's as our world is different from 1899. The foundations have been laid. Educators around the world have a challenging and exciting future ahead.

Veronica S. Pantelidis is a professor in the Department of Broadcasting, Librarianship, and Educational Technology in the School of Education at East Carolina University in Greenville, N.C., and codirector of the Virtual Reality and Education Laboratory. She began working with computers in 1958 and currently teaches all her undergraduate and graduate courses online over the Internet.

Reed Hundt

We were always aware in our policymaking at the Federal Communications Commission that the wealth of the New Economy was accruing to the top third of the country ranked by income, while the lower two-thirds were not much wealthier than they had been 25 years earlier. If our policies increased investment, job growth, and economic expansion, there remained the need to meet the unrequited claims of the middle class and the poor for an education worthy of our times. We believed that some benefits of technology should be put at the fingers of all children right away, and we wanted to improve not just the quality but also the equality of education. In short, we wanted to put the Internet in every classroom.

We believed that information-age technology overthrows existing education systems. Instead of merely certifying students as meeting the standards of the educational institution, an Internet education system focuses on maximizing the capabilities of each student. Education becomes a specialized benefit, not a commodity product. An Internet education takes place in fluid and nongeographic communities: students form communities of learners anywhere, anytime; teachers collaborate with each other at any distance.

Moreover, on the net and with e-mail, parents and teachers can work together to help children learn, and new parent-teacher communities can transform the management of schools. And the Internet can distribute the resources of education and make the best educational opportunity as ubiquitous for everyone as telephony or electricity.

Reed Hundt is a senior advisor on information industries to McKinsey & Company and a principal of Charles Ross Partners, LLC. As chairman of the Federal Communications Commission from 1993 to 1997, he presided over the implementation of the Telecommunications Act of 1996 and the E-Rate program that dedicates more than $2 billion annually to connect classrooms to the Internet. He is the author of a forthcoming book titled You Say You Want a Revolution: A Story of Information Age Politics.

Bonnie Bracey

Teachers today face several difficulties: Preparing for the realities of the classroom, creating learning environments within the confines of the budgetary and supply system of the school system, and breaking through the mythic memories that people have in their heads about what "school" is in order to convey to the public an understanding of what really happens in the classroom. In many places education is in a locational fog.

To attract and keep teachers in the evolving learning environments of tomorrow, teachers will need to be treated as real professionals, and there will need to be a variety of paths offered to them within the field of education for their own learning and career advancement.

We will learn to esteem those educators who have particular skills that translate to better learning for children and not elevate them to positions that separate them from children. In fact, we will esteem those skills and create learning systems that will support their collaboration with others in the field of education and knowledge who may be distant from the classroom. Schools can only be as good as the teachers in them. Continuous teacher learning is the key to helping students achieve high standards of learning.

Children respond to technology that is interactive because it is responsive in important ways. There are rewards to the use of smart technology. Internationally, we will collaborate, share, and create systems that allow for entry using whatever technologies that may exist.

Most important of all, we will have a better understanding of our customers -- the children -- and learn to communicate with the families of these children. We will also learn to connect to whom the child is, and not just try to fill up their heads with knowledge.

Bonnie Bracey has been a member of the National Information Infrastructure Advisory Council and the NCATE Technology Task Force. She is a cofounder of the Online Internet Institute, a former director of networks for the 21st Century Teachers Project, and former lead teacher for the Cyber Ed technology initiative. She is a Christa McAuliffe Educator and a Challenger Fellow and currently works on the NASA Program Review Advisory Committee.

Larry S. Anderson

The most remarkable impact upon education this century has been the influx of the personal computer into the learning experience. For some, this means the increasing proliferation of technologies directly in the classroom. For others, it conjures up thoughts of the extra burden the computer revolution placed upon educators' lives by requiring completely new understandings about teaching, learning, evaluation, administration, community involvement, legal issues, and planned obsolescence.

I have supremely high hopes for the new Millennium. My hopes lie in the magic of the people using technology. Among my brightest hopes for the future include some of the following:

* Totally independent learners, interconnected electronically, with robust support structures that enhance, rather than limit or restrain, their learning.

* "Role-blurring" that makes it practically impossible at times to tell who is the traditional "learner" and who is the "teacher."

* New, rich-featured, aggressive technologies designed completely around the notion of what best will support learning on an individual basis.

* A renewed, sincere respect for each individual, and a more noble societal existence, with technology as one of our chief support partners.

* A society in which we will live with technologies but not be dominated by them. They will support us. They will be designed to meet our needs so we can interact in ways that bring the maximum good to all. We will continue to have techno-pioneers, but, like the flights of the Space Shuttle, we will pay them less attention. We will be focusing upon what is best for our societies rather than "what's cooking" in the Silicon Valley kitchens around the world.

Larry S. Anderson is an associate professor in the Department of Technology and Education at Mississippi State University's College of Education. He is the founder and director of the National Center for Technology Planning.

Nora Sabelli

A new tool is always first owned by experts -- its priests -- but then it gradually outgrows the priesthood and produces change throughout society. This happened with writing and the printing press, which democratized the creation of knowledge and turned it into a commodity. That is now happening with information technology. As with writing and printing, knowledge does not reside in the tools -- clay tablets or books -- but in the habits and concepts of those who use them.

Is information technology a tool different from other electronic tools that have not delivered on their promises for so much of the century? It is a communication tool, and tools that eliminate middlemen and bypass time and distance have always been very powerful agents of change. Besides empowering human communications, the new technologies enable individualization to each learner, and help represent key concepts visually while hiding many layers of abstraction that lie behind the concepts.

For most of the history of science and education, research and pedagogy depended on tools not well suited to study the whole as more than the sum of its parts. But many scientific phenomena of general interest are quite complex; understanding the whole is not the same as understanding its parts. The new technologies offer a pedagogy that makes visual the abstract, ties abstract concepts with observable reality, and thus promises to empower much larger groups of learners -- since not everybody's best path to learning starts from abstract, symbolic concepts.

The near-universal presence of informal electronic networks is already democratizing information; users are formulating their own goals, gathering their sources (good and bad), and creating and sharing information in new forms of collective, combined social and individual learning. Everybody needs, and most will learn, skills for separating the wheat from the chaff in a sea of information. Everybody will be able to be -- and many will become -- experts in some activity, whether related to their work or not.

Nora Sabelli is senior program director in the Directorate for Education and Human Resources at the National Science Foundation, where she is focusing on the use of current scientific advances and technological opportunities to help provide quality science and mathematics education for all students.

William E. Kennard

Benjamin Franklin once remarked, "If a man empties his purse into his head, no one can take it away from him. An investment in knowledge always pays the best interest."

The E-Rate is one such investment. It's a down payment on the future of our kids and of our economy. By being exposed to the Internet and information technology, our children will learn the skills needed to gain the jobs of our Information-Age economy. They will be linked into our national community. They will be given the digital tools needed to fulfill the promise of American life in the Information Age.

Before the E-Rate, only 39 percent of classrooms in poor school districts in the United States had any Internet connections, compared to 62 percent of classrooms in wealthier districts. The on-ramps to the information superhighway were bypassing the communities that needed access to opportunity the most.

But as we get ready to move into the third year of the E-Rate, we=ve found that over 528,000 public school classrooms and libraries -- and more than 40 million kids -- have been helped by the discount. Because of the E-Rate, more than half of the unconnected classrooms will now be linked to the Internet, the bulk of which are found in schools where over half of the students live in poverty. Moreover, according to Forrester Research, Internet access among African-Americans is expected to increase 42 percent, and among Hispanics 20 percent -- two phenomena that Forrester chalks up to the E-Rate and its ability to bring this technology into every community.

Simply put, libraries and schools that never would have been able to access these services will have the opportunity to connect to the Internet. If you have ever traveled through our nation and spoken to the people who live in its small towns or in its inner cities, you will hear firsthand how important these connections are. With links to the on-line world, students have the opportunity to take courses not offered in their schools. More time can be spent in the community giving children the nurturing and support that they need. Educational and economic opportunities will become available where once they would have been nearly impossible.

William E. Kennard is chairman of the Federal Communications Commission. The first African-American chairman of the FCC, he is committed to making sure that all Americans have access to the technologies that are driving our economy and shaping our society.

Terry Crane

The evolution of technology-supported learning systems holds tremendous potential for educators in the new millennium. These learning systems will expand greatly on the concept of ever-more-customizable interactive programming that is searchable and accessible anywhere on the globe. Naturally, information literacy will be essential for both teachers and students.

With the emerging acceptance of high-stakes testing as a prerequisite for graduation, new technologies also are being applied to assist classroom teachers. We all know that ongoing assessment is one of the best ways we can track academic progress. The trouble is that most assessment data is at the district or school level, and typically results are not available until the end of the year when itís too late for teachers to use the data to make adjustments. While these assessment results may serve as useful benchmarks, theyíre not in the hands of those who can change the outcome and results of student learning, namely the teachers.

By contrast, classroom-based assessment allows for data-driven decision making on a daily basis. Through the effective use of technology, teachers can have access to data immediately that can drive their decisions in the classroom. One of the goals I have steered my company toward is support of daily assessment in the classroom because of the significant difference it can make. Technology can provide teachers with the tools that allow them to make day-to-day decisions. It can allow them to understand which standards the students have mastered and to arrange objectives to meet their specific instructional goals.

We commend the trailblazers in educational technology and the day-to-day visionaries committed to exploring the use of technology to make ongoing instructional improvements in the classroom for our students. For 20 years, I have watched with pride as my fellow educators have harnessed and dreamed with technology in order to help students today and tomorrow realize their full promise. I believe with a passion that technology will continue to make a positive difference in learning outcomes for children in the future while serving as an invaluable tool for educators.

Terry Crane is president of Jostens Learning Corp.

Bob Walczak

Moore's Law, as many of you are aware, projects dramatic increases in the power and speed of computers -- as well as dramatic reductions in cost. By 2010, ultra-fast computers, by this law, will cost $10.

But even these marvelous attributes are not critical in the next few years in the education environment. After all, these devices are inanimate objects. What really counts are the users and their attitudes; I see extraordinary changes occurring here.

In the first place, the stress on test scores and improvement in learning will vanish, driven out by technology that improves at a rate that makes longitudinal data collecting impossible. Another key factor will be the realization that the machines must accommodate the requirements of the user. Right now, we have all these big machines that are in labs and becoming less and less useful to the students. Even so-called laptops are cumbersome, with limited functionality and even more limited battery life. I foresee devices that are ultra-small, wireless, voice-activated, and with unlimited storage, blinding speed, and no moving parts. Educational computing will become an anytime, anyplace, on-demand activity.

The result for teachers and students will be profound, and it will not stop there. The community -- parents, business people, city government, and the like -- will all become participants in the education process. This will create a true community of learners who will be problem-solvers on a local, regional, and even national basis. The individuals we think of as students will become fully empowered participants and even leaders in these communities. We already see this happening: high school students helping small businesses and not-for-profits deal with Y2K compliance, and school staff and students working with the community to study sources of water pollution in their neighborhood.

Bob Walczak is executive director of Computer-Using Educators Inc., the country's largest teacher organization supporting the use of educational technology.

Beverly Hunter

"Every person is a learner, a teacher, and a builder of knowledge." That vision has driven my work over the past 35 years. People of all ages and backgrounds can work and learn together to solve real problems important to them and their local or virtual community. Learning can take place in a context that values, respects and validates the person's world.

Armed with powerful computational tools, historical and current data bases, multiple representations of knowledge, accessible learning materials, and telecommunications facilities, people can form and organize teams based on mutual concerns and complementary skills, backgrounds, and purposes. The brainpower, energy, talents and curiosity of each human being is a precious resource to be protected, nurtured, and used wisely.

Will we continue to segregate people by age, imposing one-size-fits-all "standards of learning" on our youth, or will we invent new, more open opportunities for learning, teaching, and knowledge-building that tap and value the creative energies and talents of each person?

Beverly Hunter conducts research, development, and professional development activities to help educators and community leaders take advantage of computer and communications technologies to build new kinds of learning, teaching, and knowledge-building communities.

Gerald D. Bailey and Dan Lumley

The immediate past shows educators struggling to keep pace with the rapid change of technology. Within the last 30 years, computers have moved from mainframes to desktops. Number crunching and word crunching were the order of the day. No sooner had word processing, spreadsheets, and databases become the standard curriculum offerings when software allowed for integration of graphics, sound, and video into multimedia. Multimedia became the standard use of educational technology. Next, the Internet appeared on the scene, and began to challenge all the rules that we formulated about multimedia. Soon, information literacy and web site creation became the standard.

What about the immediate future? The answer is more change and education falling farther behind. The newest innovation in computing is personal digital assistants -- PDAs, also known as palmtop computers or handheld computers. These small computers fit in your pocket and they are transforming the way we use and interact with information. Their small size allows us to take information with us and retrieve it anywhere. We are no longer tethered to stationary computer. The question is whether PDAs will change the way teachers and students use and access information or whether they will be primarily used as organizing tools. We can't wait for the future to shape us, we need to create the future. In the words of Gandhi, "You must be the change you wish to see in the world."

Gerald D. Bailey is a professor of education in the Department of Educational Administration & Leadership and a technology consultant at Kansas State University. Dan Lumley is the director of curriculum and instruction for the Lee's Summit School District in Lee's Summit, Missouri.

Susan Ness

The digital revolution heralds a Renaissance in education. As long as classrooms have access to broadband technology, students will literally have the world at their fingertips. As never before, this has the potential to awaken creativity and love of learning in students of all backgrounds and abilities.

I visited a school in Hooper Bay, Alaska, on the Bering Sea. Thanks to the E-Rate and the Internet, this community -- which receives newspapers days or weeks after their publication -- will now be able to get the news instantaneously. Before now, what Inuit child could hope to tour the Smithsonian, or the Louvre? Or have access to advanced courses in math or science via distance learning?

The E-Rate is helping to level the educational playing field. The benefits are targeted disproportionately to schools and libraries in low-income and rural communities. The children in these communities are least likely to have access to computers at home or libraries with vast resources. But when their classrooms have computers and Internet access at affordable rates, these children have access to the same information as students in wealthier school districts. The E-Rate will make all students better able to face and surmount the challenges of the 21st Century.

Susan Ness is a commissioner at the Federal Communications Commission. She chairs the Federal-State Joint Board charged with addressing universal telephone service issues and has worked to facilitate delivery of advanced telecommunications services to classrooms and community libraries through the implementation of the E-Rate.

Judi Mathis Johnson

The continuum is frightening and glorious. Each time technology provides opportunities, it also glares cautions. We must fully consider how each technology application can help students learn without eliminating other qualities that are equally desirable.

Multimedia today is sound, color, and movement; it raises the heart rate and enthralls the imagination. Obviously what we define as multimedia today may seem too simplistic by tomorrow's standards. How far is educational technology from students wearing virtual reality gloves and working as a group to virtually row a canoe down the Amazon River, while they feel the humidity and smell the flowers? Will that be called multimedia?

My dream is of a time when software is designed to be effective for students. Currently too much software is designed to be commercially viable for a short period of time. Focus groups determine content and delivery style, not effective research conducted in a typical classroom. Assessment, possible outcomes, and diagnoses should come with each piece of software to earn the "education" label.

Judi Mathis Johnson is software review editor for Learning & Leading With Technology.

Frank Odasz

A new global culture will appear, combining caring and connectivity, led by youth and seniors. Youth will prove to be key change agents and technology leaders in all cultures. Unmet needs will be matched with excess resources. World cultures will learn to celebrate their diversity without censoring alternative worldviews. We'll all have access to all our joint knowledge through a combination of social and technical systems.

Niche knowledge specialties will become a viable vocation for individuals in collaboration with others, keeping the world's knowledge base current. Multiple tiers of appropriate human assistance and expertise will be available to all, for the asking. Context will enhance content, and "less-is-more" will be the measure of value.

Everyone will become both learner and teacher. Successful mentoring of others will be the measure of individual success, in association with creating effective self-directed learning opportunities which can scale to benefit billions. The best resources to benefit the most people at the least cost will be identified, to be customized by citizens for local contexts as an 'instructional entrepreneurship' service.

We'll come to emphasize our abilities to imagine better ways to use the social and technical interconnections between people and knowledge. We'll redefine "community" as those to which we give our time. The global cultural goal for the human family will be actualization of our joint full potential.

Transnational activism will evolve to engage daily votes on global issues which will involve more citizens' daily direct participation than any past elections in human history. Ideational leaders will emerge, articulating the pulse of human emotion and thought in the face of limitless possibilities.

Frank Odasz is president of Lone Eagle Consulting, specializing in rural, remote, and indigenous empowerment. He served as a teacher of teachers at Western Montana College for 13 years and as director of the Big Sky Telegraph network from 1988 to 1998, offering online courses to rural teachers in one and two-room rural schools.

Reproduced with permission from the January 2000 issue of Electronic School. Copyright © 2000, National School Boards Association. Electronic School is an editorially independent publication of the National School Boards Association. Opinions expressed by this magazine or any of its authors do not necessarily reflect positions of the National School Boards Association. This article may be printed out and photocopied for individual or educational use, provided this copyright notice appears on each copy. This article may not be otherwise transmitted or reproduced in print or electronic form without the consent of the Publisher. For more information, call (703) 838-6739.

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